As the results of the state assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Mizoram are eagerly awaited, exit polls conducted on Thursday have provided a glimpse into the possible outcomes. The predictions suggest an intriguing mix of scenarios, with the Congress leading in Chhattisgarh and Telangana, while the BJP holds an advantage in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. In Mizoram, the Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM) and the Mizo National Front (MNF) are locked in a close race, leaving the Congress and BJP trailing.
State-wise Analysis:
Chhattisgarh:
Exit polls indicate an edge for the Congress in Chhattisgarh.
Projections from various sources, including India Today and ABP News C-Voter, suggest a range of 40-50 seats for the Congress and 36-48 seats for the BJP.
Telangana:
The exit polls foresee a tight contest between the ruling Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) and the Congress in Telangana.
India TV-CNX predicts 31-47 seats for BRS and 63-79 seats for Congress.
Rajasthan:
The BJP appears to have an edge in Congress-ruled Rajasthan, as per exit polls.
Jan Ki Baat suggests the BJP winning 100-122 seats, while Congress is projected to secure 62-85 seats.
Madhya Pradesh:
Exit polls predict a closely contested battle in Madhya Pradesh.
Jan Ki Baat forecasts 100-123 seats for the BJP and 102-125 seats for the Congress.
Mizoram:
A close race is observed between ZPM and MNF, with Congress and BJP trailing.
ABP News-C Voter predicts MNF getting 15-21 seats and ZPM 12-18 seats.
Comparing Exit Polls to 2018:
In the 2018 Assembly polls, exit polls were reasonably accurate in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh but had notable inaccuracies for Telangana, Chhattisgarh, and Mizoram.
The 2023 exit polls will be under scrutiny, given the historical variance in accuracy.
Key Political Strategies:
Both the BJP and Congress are vying for victories in these crucial state elections to build momentum for the upcoming general elections.
The BJP relies on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity, welfare schemes, and organizational strength in these states.
As the countdown to the results on December 3 begins, these exit polls offer preliminary insights into the possible political landscape in the five states. The diverse scenarios in each state underscore the complex and dynamic nature of Indian politics. It remains to be seen whether the predictions align with the actual outcomes, making these elections pivotal for the political trajectory of the country. Stay tuned for comprehensive coverage and analysis as the results unfold
